
A 5.24% 10-year yield, Meta's software raid and a jobs data day
The 10-year yield hit its highest since 2007 and 70 of 100 names we track fell. Meta's enterprise push hit software, and JOLTS lands at 10 a.m. ET.
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The 10-year yield hit its highest since 2007 and 70 of 100 names we track fell. Meta's enterprise push hit software, and JOLTS lands at 10 a.m. ET.

Futures slipped early Monday as Brent topped $107 and OpenAI paused training. On Friday, Microsoft and banks led, and 61 of 100 names we track rose.

Meta and Intel kept the S&P 500 flat while 57 of 100 names we track fell. Oracle and Arm slid, long yields rose again, and oil eased overnight.

The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10%, its highest since 2007, after hot PMI data. Two-thirds of our feed fell, and futures pointed lower into the summit.

Banks, card networks and telecoms fell on fears Meta's Muse AI agent will make switching easy. The Nasdaq still closed at a record as the S&P 500 went flat.

Arm rose 17%, Intel 12% and Meta 11% as the Nasdaq hit a record. Yet more S&P 500 stocks hit 52-week lows than highs, a split last seen in 1999.

The S&P 500 rose 0.17% Friday while 62 of the 100 names we track fell. Micron closed above $1,000 and Coinbase jumped 11.66%. Futures are up on China talks.

SPY rose 1.13% a day after the Fed hike, but the gain was set at the open. Arm, Intel and AMD led; XLF went nowhere and T-Mobile fell 5.57%.

The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023. The Dow fund fell 1.15% while QQQ held flat, and banks took the worst of it.

The Fed's decision lands at 2 p.m. ET with a quarter-point hike near fully priced. Oil rose 4.2% and the 10-year touched 5.041%.

Chips fell 5.9% Monday while security stocks jumped. The 10-year yield touched 5.02% overnight, and the Fed's two-day meeting starts with hike odds at 92%.

Anthropic and OpenAI CEOs urged slower AI development. Nasdaq futures fell 1.61% and SoftBank 10.7%. The Fed decides Wednesday, hike odds at 86%.

Stocks fell a fourth day as the 10-year yield hit 4.94% and chipmakers sank. Oracle rose after hours. August CPI lands at 8:30 a.m. ET.

The 10-year hit its highest since 2023 and 75 of 100 names fell, while Meta and Cloudflare rose on AI launches. PPI lands at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Oil crossed $100 on Iran escalation and the Dow lost 1.18%. But 73 of 100 large caps fell while chips rallied. PPI Thursday, CPI Friday.

August payrolls tripled the 53,000 consensus and hike odds are back near 59%. Oil sits at six-week highs, and CPI lands Friday.

Waller's hold signal cut September hike odds to 50.4% and lifted the S&P 1.06%. August payrolls arrive at 8:30 ET with consensus at just 56,000 jobs.

MongoDB fell 13.5% and Palo Alto 9.3% after both beat and raised. The rest of the market rose. ISM services and jobless claims land this morning.

Dell booked record AI server orders while software fell 5-7%. The market is repricing duration, not AI — and Broadcom reports after today's close.

Global bond yields broke to multi-decade highs overnight and oil kept rising. The bond market, not stocks, is setting the terms before this open.

The Fed chair says rates may still need to rise, and a US strike near Hormuz pushed Brent above $90 over the weekend. Both point the same way.

Salesforce rose 22% and Okta 28%, yet 59 of 100 large caps fell. Marvell dropped on a record quarter. Fed Chair Warsh speaks at 10 a.m. ET.

Nvidia guided to $108 billion and S&P futures rose 0.3%. Salesforce jumped 12.7% after hours. Sticky PCE and a 4.65% 10-year explain the gap.

July PCE and GDP land together at 8:30 ET, Nvidia reports after the bell, and Tuesday's tape was a rotation rather than a rally.

Monday's selloff was a rotation, not a de-risking. Micron fell 5.83% with its 2026 supply already sold out, and Nvidia reports Wednesday, not today.

Futures edge lower with tech under pressure, Friday's crypto rally still dominates the boards, and 50% US tariffs on Canadian goods took effect at midnight.

Walmart fell 9.15% after a comparable-sales miss even as it raised guidance, while long-dated Treasury yields set the tone for everything else.

Walmart reports before the open and retail sales follow at 8:30. Behind Wednesday's calm index: Merck +12.6%, biotech ripping, semis and cyber down 4-5%.

The FOMC statement lands at 2 pm ET after the S&P 500's third straight loss. Micron fell 7% on record results; Intel's raise moved 121 million shares.

Monday's tape split 25 advancing to 75 declining, semis led while software was sold on someone else's revenue print, and Home Depot reports before the open.

A record quarter sent Applied Materials down 5.1% while AMD rose 6.5%. Reddit's 12.6% index pop, negative breadth and a two-sided rate story.

Cisco lost 8.4% after beating and raising, Workday gained 17.8% on a reported Silver Lake approach, and the S&P closed at a record. Retail sales at 8:30am ET.

AI hardware led while software and consumer sold. Cisco reported $17.3B revenue after the close, and PPI hits at 8:30 AM ET.

July CPI lands at 8:30 a.m. ET after a defensive Tuesday: Oracle and Datadog fell while MongoDB and AMD rose. Global-e reports before the open.

Monday's close: 55 advancers but a flat index, oil up about 5% on Hormuz, six semis lower, three small-cap takeouts. CPI lands Wednesday 8:30 am ET.

Iran says direct U.S. talks are not underway even as headlines price a Hormuz deal. Plus Friday's software bid, Corsair's 35% margin move, and CPI Wednesday.

July non-farm payrolls land at 8:30 ET. Thursday closed with 62 of 100 large caps lower, and Datadog fell 19% on a beat-and-raise.

AMD beat on both lines and guided to about $13B — then closed down 7.04%. Shopify +16.98%, Lilly +4.86%, and large-cap breadth exactly 50 up, 50 down.

Palantir jumped 29% and Arm 17% as 77 of 100 large caps rose. Oil slid on Hormuz talk, and a Fed statement is scheduled for 2:00 pm ET.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,600.50, up 1.48%, with 71 of 100 large caps higher. Oil's rebound says the Iran de-escalation trade is not settled.

Friday split the market: Amazon and Alphabet ripped higher while Apple shed roughly $400 billion on supply guidance. Just 48 of 100 large caps advanced.